Author Perspective
Across 12 tracked claims, Andy Coenen skews optimistic.
92% optimistic8% neutral0% pessimistic
Claims from this article
12 claims
While the ability to produce code by hand is rapidly becoming irrelevant, the core skills of software engineering will only become more important as we radically scale up the amount of software in the world.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high
In a world where more people can build more software much more quickly and cheaply, the possibility space of software business models expands into many more sustainable forms.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high
The Software Industrial Revolution won't just disrupt tech: it will change healthcare, science, retail, agriculture, logistics, manufacturing, education, government — everything in the economy touches software and the nature of software is about to fundamentally and radically change.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.combeyond 5 yearsconfidence high
The Software Industrial Revolution will lead to an explosion of new bespoke software across every industry and niche, and we'll build and use much more of it.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high
The end of the VC software era will lead to reallocation of capital towards more real-world, physical applications, accelerating the shift back to atoms in Silicon Valley.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence moderate
The decrease in software costs likely means the end of the modern VC era of software funding, as there's little incentive for founders to exchange massive equity for building capital.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence moderate
As software gets dramatically cheaper to build and maintain, it will inevitably lead to us building much more software.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high
A massive decrease in the cost of software production will lead to explosive growth in both supply, demand, and consumption of software.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high
It's more likely that there'll soon be significantly more demand for software engineers, counterintuitively, as a result of the Software Industrial Revolution.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence moderate
It's now possible for anyone to produce software without software engineers.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comimminentconfidence high
It's now possible to produce software dramatically cheaper and faster.
OptimisticOptimisticAndy Coenencannoneyed.comimminentconfidence high
Software production will be rapidly automated, and it's already happening.
NeutralNeutralAndy Coenencannoneyed.comimminentconfidence high