A massive decrease in the cost of software production will lead to explosive growth in both supply, demand, and consumption of software.
Optimistic
Original Quote
the most likely impact of the Software Industrial Revolution is the same as the first Industrial Revolution: a massive decrease in the cost of production will lead to explosive growth in both supply, demand, and consumption.
Outlook
OptimisticExplosive growth in software supply and consumption broadly expands economic output and access to digital tools.
Timeframe
within 1-5 yearsImplied
'Nearly overnight' and the framing of the revolution as already beginning in late 2025 imply effects will materialize within 1-5 years.
Confidence
high
'Most likely impact' indicates the author's high but not absolute confidence in this outcome.
Potential Data Sources for Validation
Track total number of software applications published (App Store/Play Store counts, SaaS product directories like G2 or Product Hunt launches), software market size reports (Gartner, IDC), and enterprise software spend over the next 1-5 years.
About the Author
Andy Coenen
Author Perspective
Across 12 tracked claims, Andy Coenen skews optimistic.
92% optimistic8% neutral0% pessimistic