Forward deployed engineering (FDE) job postings should exhibit Jevons Paradox dynamics, increasing as the cost of software development falls, because elastic demand and substitution cause total quantity consumed to rise.
Optimistic
Source
Software is Eating the Work — Felix StockerFelix Stockerfelixstocker.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
When you look at a chart of FDE job postings, you should see the Jevons Paradox in action: when demand is elastic and substitution is possible, a fall in unit cost can increase both quantity consumed and total expenditure - the cheaper input captures a larger share of the bundle.
Outlook
OptimisticRising FDE job postings would indicate growing employment in a skilled category even as per-unit software costs fall, which is positive for that segment of the labor market.
Timeframe
imminentImplied
Confidence
moderate
Potential Data Sources for Validation
LinkedIn, Indeed, or Lightcast job posting data for forward deployed engineering or implementation engineering roles tracked over time, correlated with trends in AI coding tool adoption.
About the Author
Felix Stocker
Author Perspective
Across 10 tracked claims, Felix Stocker skews optimistic.
60% optimistic10% neutral30% pessimistic