Custom software development cost as a percentage of total enterprise deployment cost will fall in Stage 4 as build costs decline further.
Optimistic
Source
Software is Eating the Work — Felix StockerFelix Stockerfelixstocker.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
In Stage 4, when build costs fall even further, the share of software development cost in enterprise deployment cost will fall. Claude Code will eat the Jevons Paradox: more is different.
Outlook
OptimisticLower software development cost share means enterprises can deploy more capable systems at lower total cost, benefiting businesses and ultimately consumers.
Timeframe
within 1-5 yearsImplied
Stage 4 is described as already beginning, so these cost share changes are expected to materialise within a few years.
Confidence
high
The unhedged 'will fall' expresses high confidence.
Potential Data Sources for Validation
Enterprise software project cost breakdowns from industry analyst reports (Gartner, IDC, Forrester) tracking the proportion of spending on custom development vs. deployment, integration, and change management over time.
About the Author
Felix Stocker
Author Perspective
Across 10 tracked claims, Felix Stocker skews optimistic.
60% optimistic10% neutral30% pessimistic