There is suggestive evidence that hiring of younger workers has slowed in exposed occupations since ChatGPT's release.
Pessimistic
Source
Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence \ Anthropic@AnthropicAIanthropic.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
The averaged estimate in the post-ChatGPT era is a 14% drop in the job finding rate compared to that in 2022 in the exposed occupations, although this is just barely statistically significant. (There is no such decrease for workers older than 25.)
Outlook
PessimisticA slowdown in hiring of young workers into AI-exposed occupations reduces labor market entry opportunities for that demographic group.
Timeframe
2022-2026Explicit
Confidence
low
The authors explicitly note the result is only barely statistically significant, indicating low confidence that this is a real effect rather than noise.
Potential Data Sources for Validation
Current Population Survey panel data on monthly job-finding rates for workers aged 22–25 entering high-exposure vs. low-exposure occupations, compared pre- and post-ChatGPT release.
About the Author
@AnthropicAI
Author Perspective
Across 7 tracked claims, @AnthropicAI skews pessimistic.
14% optimistic57% neutral29% pessimistic