The disruption that has already registered in hiring statistics is the product of less than a quarter of AI's feasible capability actually being deployed.
Pessimistic
Source
The New White Collar Moat In AI - by Rob MayRob Mayinvestinginai.substack.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
The disruption that has already registered in hiring statistics is the product of less than a quarter of AI's feasible capability actually being deployed.
Outlook
PessimisticIf only a quarter of AI's feasible disruption has occurred and more is coming, significantly more job displacement and economic disruption lies ahead.
Timeframe
within 1-5 yearsImplied
The article implies the remaining gap between theoretical AI exposure and actual adoption will close in the near future, consistent with the ongoing disruption narrative centered on 2026 and beyond.
Confidence
high
The author presents this as a factual reading of existing data, expressing high confidence that further disruption will follow.
Potential Data Sources for Validation
Anthropic's AI Exposure Index and similar measures tracking the ratio of theoretical AI exposure to actual observed adoption across occupational sectors over time.
About the Author
Rob May
Author Perspective
Across 7 tracked claims, Rob May skews pessimistic.
0% optimistic14% neutral86% pessimistic