The era of human-AI collaboration (cyborgism) will last a long time, until ASI is so superior that a human adds negative value, compute is highly abundant, bottlenecks disappear, and demand for human goods reaches zero.
Optimistic
Source
Ghosts of Electricity | Alex Imas | SubstackSéb Krieraleximas.substack.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
So I expect cyborgism to last a long time - at least until ASI is so superior that a human adds negative value/gets in the way, compute is highly abundant, bottlenecks disappear, and demand for human stuff is zero - which are pretty stringent conditions.
Outlook
OptimisticA prolonged era of human-AI collaboration preserves human economic participation and social meaning, which is broadly beneficial for human welfare.
Timeframe
beyond 5 yearsImplied
Confidence
likely
About the Author
Séb Krier
Author Perspective
Across 10 tracked claims, Séb Krier skews optimistic.
70% optimistic10% neutral20% pessimistic