As systems improve toward ASI, interface friction between humans and AI systems may act as a prohibitive cost that forces a corner solution, leaving humans logistically stranded outside the high-speed AI value chain.
Pessimistic
Source
Ghosts of Electricity | Alex Imas | SubstackSéb Krieraleximas.substack.com
View all claims from this article Original Quote
as systems improve towards ASI, 'interface friction' may act as a prohibitive cost (not just financial, but latency and context) that forces a corner solution... The humans effectively end up in the same situation as the island of 10 people above: their 'low opportunity cost' is irrelevant because they are logistically stranded outside the high-speed value chain.
Outlook
PessimisticBeing excluded from the dominant economic value chain would severely limit human economic participation and bargaining power, which is harmful to human welfare.
Timeframe
beyond 5 yearsImplied
This scenario requires progression to ASI, which the author treats as a long-run possibility well beyond the near term.
Confidence
possible
'May act' is a weak modal indicating a speculative possibility rather than a confident prediction.
About the Author
Séb Krier
Author Perspective
Across 10 tracked claims, Séb Krier skews optimistic.
70% optimistic10% neutral20% pessimistic