AI has created new jobs — prompt engineers, AI safety researchers, infrastructure technicians — but for every new role AI created, it rendered dozens obsolete, and the new roles paid a fraction of what the old ones did.
Source
THE 2028 GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISISOriginal Quote
AI has created new jobs. Prompt engineers. AI safety researchers. Infrastructure technicians. Humans are still in the loop, coordinating at the highest level or directing for taste. For every new role AI created, though, it rendered dozens obsolete. The new roles paid a fraction of what the old ones did.
Outlook
PessimisticNet job destruction combined with wage compression for newly created roles represents a net deterioration in labor market welfare.
The scenario describes this dynamic as having played out by June 2028, framed as an ongoing trend through the 2026-2028 period.
The authors state this as a factual claim within the scenario with strong conviction, not hedging this particular assertion.
Potential Data Sources for Validation
BLS occupational employment and wage statistics comparing growth in AI-related roles vs. decline in displaced white-collar roles; median wage comparison across job categories.
About the Author
Citrini is the pseudonymous founder of Citrinitas Capital Management Inc. and the author of Citrini Research, a top finance Substack specializing in thematic equity investing and global macro trading, known for early calls on AI and GLP-1 investments.
Across 17 tracked claims, James van Geelen skews pessimistic.