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Firm Data on AI

Yotzov et al. (NBER)nber.org
Author Perspective

Across 5 tracked claims, Yotzov et al. (NBER) skews optimistic.

60% optimistic20% neutral20% pessimistic
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Claims from this article

5 claims

Individual employees predict a 0.5% increase in employment in the next 3 years as a result of AI.

OptimisticOptimisticYotzov et al. (NBER)nber.orgwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence implied survey forecast

Firms predict AI will increase output by 0.8% over the next 3 years.

OptimisticOptimisticYotzov et al. (NBER)nber.orgwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence implied survey forecast

Firms predict AI will boost productivity by 1.4% over the next 3 years.

OptimisticOptimisticYotzov et al. (NBER)nber.orgwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence implied survey forecast

There is a sizable gap in expectations, with senior executives predicting reductions in employment from AI and employees predicting net job creation.

NeutralNeutralYotzov et al. (NBER)nber.orgwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence high

Firms predict AI will cut employment by 0.7% over the next 3 years.

PessimisticPessimisticYotzov et al. (NBER)nber.orgwithin 1-5 yearsconfidence implied survey forecast
nber.org5 claims
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